Making learning and work count Labour market LIVE from Learning and Work Institute 10 September 2019
Learning and Work Institute comment |
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Chart 1: UK unemployment (ILO) The latest unemployment figure is 1,294,000. It has reduced by 35,000 from the figure published last month. The unemployment rate was down by 0.1 percentage points to 3.8% on last month. |
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Chart 2: Percentage unemployed not claiming Universal Credit or Jobseeker’s Allowance The proportion of unemployed people not claiming Universal Credit or Jobseeker’s Allowance has fallen to 12.2%; (158,000). |
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Chart 3: Youth long-term unemployment (six months and over, 18-24) Youth long-term unemployment (which can include students) has fallen by 7,000 from last month’s figure and is now 128,000. The youth long-term Jobseeker’s Allowance count (but not UC) remains far behind, at 10,900. The count fell by 1,200 this month, largely due to the continuing transition to Universal Credit. |
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Chart 4: Adult long-term unemployment (12 months and over, 25+) Adult long-term unemployment on the survey measure is now 250,000. The Jobseeker’s Allowance measure is 138,200. |
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Chart 5: Unemployment rates by age The 18 to 24 year old unemployment rate (including students) is 10.5% of the economically active – excluding one million economically inactive students from the calculation. The rate for those aged 25 to 49 is 2.8%. For those aged 50 and over it is 2.5%. The quarterly change is up 0.3 percentage points for 18 to 24 year olds, down 0.1 for 25 to 49 year olds, and down 0.1 for the over-50s. |
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Chart 6: Young people not in employment, full-time education or training The number of out of work young people who are not in full-time education (986,000) has risen in the past quarter by 41,000, or 4.3%. The rise was largely among the inactive, with the number of unemployed young people not in full-time education or training rising at a lower rate. |
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Chart 7: Youth unemployment The number of unemployed young people has fallen by 15,000 since last month’s figures, to 488,000. Meanwhile, the number of young Universal Credit or Jobseeker’s Allowance claimants rose last month by 5,700, to 226,300. There are 128,000 unemployed young people who are not in education, and do not claim Universal Credit or Jobseeker’s Allowance, 37.2% of all unemployed young people who are not students. |
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Chart 8: Jobseeker’s Allowance and Universal Credit claimant count The ONS headline Jobseeker’s Allowance and Universal Credit claimant count has risen by 28,200 in August, taking the total to 1,183,400. ONS' claimant count before seasonal adjustment rose by 31,500 to 1,178,900. This change is directly comparable to the local level claimant count changes published today. Learning amd Work Institute's seasonally adjusted estimate is up by 30,900 to 1,190,700. |
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Chart 9: Vacancies – whole economy survey Vacancies (in the Office for National Statistics survey of the whole economy) fell sharply this month, to 812,000. As the number of vacancies is quite volatile, and frequently revised, the Office for National Statistics uses a three-month average. |
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Chart 10: Unemployed people per vacancy There are 1.6 unemployed people per vacancy. |
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Chart 11: UK employment Employment fell by 34,000 on the figure published last month, to 32,777,000. |
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Chart 12: Employment rate in the UK The employment rate was stable over the quarter, at 76.1%. |
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Chart 13: Claimants for inactive benefits and the economically inactive – inactivity benefits The number of people inactive owing to long-term sickness continued to rise, while the benefit figure shows a 200,000 rise to the February 2019 figures. This is calculated using the same method as the 2018 figures, counting Universal Credit claimants who are out of work and with no work requirements, as well as those with requirements to prepare for work, alongside Employment and Support Allowance claimant with no UC component (the orange dots), compared with survey figures for the economically inactive owing to long-term sickness. |
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Chart 14: Claimants for inactive benefits and the economically inactive – lone parents The survey figures (showing those looking after family) are broadly flat while benefit measures fell. The benefit figures are also affected by Universal Credit rollout, where new claims are now Universal Credit rather than Income Support. This chart shows claimants of Income Support as lone parents, plus lone parents claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance (the orange dots) and survey figures for all those who are economically inactive looking after family (including couple families). |
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Chart 15: Employment rate quarterly change in regions – May to July 2019 This quarter, eight regions showed a rise in the employment rate, led by Northern Ireland and the West Midlands. The employment rate fell in four regions, led by Wales and Scotland. |
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Chart 16: Unemployment rate quarterly change in regions – May to July 2019 Seven regions showed an improvement in the unemployment rate this quarter. Five showed a worsening. The rises were led by Scotland and the North West. |
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Chart 17: Inactivity rate quarterly change in regions – May to July 2019 Overall, there was no change in the inactivity rate over the quarter. Six regions showed rises in inactivity, led by Wales and Scotland. |
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